Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4321500979> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 58 of
58
with 100 items per page.
- W4321500979 abstract "Catastrophic rock slope failures pose great threats to life and property, but remain difficult to predict. Over the past decades, great efforts have been devoted to develop and deploy high-precision monitoring technologies to observe unstable rock slope movements. However, only a limited number of large rock slope failures have been so far successfully mitigated. Here, we present a novel predictive framework to quantitatively assess the slope failure potential in real time. Our method builds upon the physics of extreme events in natural systems: the extremes so-called “dragon-kings” (e.g. slope tertiary creeps prior to failure) exhibit statistically different properties than other less intense deformations (e.g. slope secondary creeps). We develop robust statistical tools to detect the emergence of dragon-kings during rockslide evolution, with the secondary-to-tertiary creep transition quantitatively captured. We also construct a phase diagram characterising the detectability of dragon-kings against “black-swans” and informing on whether the slope evolves towards a catastrophic or slow landslide. We test our method on both synthetic and real datasets, demonstrating how it might have been used to forecast three representative historical rockslide events at Preonzo (Switzerland), Veslemannen (Norway), and Moosfluh (Switzerland). Our method, superior to the conventional velocity threshold approach, can considerably reduce the number of false alarms and identify with high confidence the presence of true hazards of catastrophic rock slope failures. Our work adds a new conceptual framework and operational methodology with a significant potential to reduce landslide risks and support existing early warning systems." @default.
- W4321500979 created "2023-02-23" @default.
- W4321500979 creator A5018402520 @default.
- W4321500979 creator A5039779053 @default.
- W4321500979 creator A5057002364 @default.
- W4321500979 creator A5085238022 @default.
- W4321500979 date "2023-05-15" @default.
- W4321500979 modified "2023-09-30" @default.
- W4321500979 title "Dragon-king detection for real-time forecast of catastrophic rock slope failures" @default.
- W4321500979 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-2422" @default.
- W4321500979 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
- W4321500979 type Work @default.
- W4321500979 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W4321500979 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
- W4321500979 hasAuthorship W4321500979A5018402520 @default.
- W4321500979 hasAuthorship W4321500979A5039779053 @default.
- W4321500979 hasAuthorship W4321500979A5057002364 @default.
- W4321500979 hasAuthorship W4321500979A5085238022 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C112987892 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C186295008 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C187320778 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C29825287 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C64341305 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C76155785 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C78261793 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConcept C97355855 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C112987892 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C119857082 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C121332964 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C127313418 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C186295008 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C187320778 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C29825287 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C41008148 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C64341305 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C76155785 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C78261793 @default.
- W4321500979 hasConceptScore W4321500979C97355855 @default.
- W4321500979 hasLocation W43215009791 @default.
- W4321500979 hasOpenAccess W4321500979 @default.
- W4321500979 hasPrimaryLocation W43215009791 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W2075075128 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W2133232576 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W2318410015 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W2736689064 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W2921748687 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W3003657101 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W3113946622 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W3114715099 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W4282824751 @default.
- W4321500979 hasRelatedWork W4383619146 @default.
- W4321500979 isParatext "false" @default.
- W4321500979 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W4321500979 workType "article" @default.