Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4322002891> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 76 of
76
with 100 items per page.
- W4322002891 abstract "We describe a new statistical method to narrow uncertainty on estimates of past and climate change. Our approach can be viewed as an adaptation of Kalman Filtering, or Kriging, for Climate Change. The definition of what we call signal and noise are different from those used in typical weather forecasting systems, but the formalism is pretty similar, and estimation of the model error and observational error covariance matrices play a central role.This approach allows us to simultaneously constrain projections, metrics of sensitivity, and to assess human influence on the past climate (attribution). It provides a consistent picture of on-going changes, through merging model simulations and observations in a Bayesian fashion. Cross-validation suggests that our method produces robust results and is not overconfident.Beyond GSAT results, I will focus on application of this method to narrow uncertainty on regional or local scale warming -- which is a step forward from the AR6. Even at the local scale, we find that observational constraints narrow uncertainty on future warming, and that local observations provide useful information. The case of France will be used as an illustrative example, then I'll describe local results worldwide and show how they constrain warming patterns. I will briefly browse other applications, including some related to the water cycle, and discuss implications of this work. " @default.
- W4322002891 created "2023-02-26" @default.
- W4322002891 creator A5005160135 @default.
- W4322002891 creator A5063214367 @default.
- W4322002891 date "2023-05-15" @default.
- W4322002891 modified "2023-09-30" @default.
- W4322002891 title "A Kalman Filtering approach to reduce uncertainty on global and regional climate change" @default.
- W4322002891 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-12523" @default.
- W4322002891 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
- W4322002891 type Work @default.
- W4322002891 citedByCount "0" @default.
- W4322002891 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
- W4322002891 hasAuthorship W4322002891A5005160135 @default.
- W4322002891 hasAuthorship W4322002891A5063214367 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C157286648 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C178650346 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C24552861 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C2778755073 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C49937458 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C58640448 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C81692654 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C105795698 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C107673813 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C119857082 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C127313418 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C132651083 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C149782125 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C153294291 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C154945302 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C157286648 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C168754636 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C178650346 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C18903297 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C205649164 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C24552861 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C2778755073 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C33923547 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C39432304 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C41008148 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C49204034 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C49937458 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C58640448 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C81692654 @default.
- W4322002891 hasConceptScore W4322002891C86803240 @default.
- W4322002891 hasLocation W43220028911 @default.
- W4322002891 hasOpenAccess W4322002891 @default.
- W4322002891 hasPrimaryLocation W43220028911 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W1970833970 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2010079953 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2025659129 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2048455584 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2089615313 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2107638434 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W2126478609 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W3198983295 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W4296271450 @default.
- W4322002891 hasRelatedWork W4379984858 @default.
- W4322002891 isParatext "false" @default.
- W4322002891 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W4322002891 workType "article" @default.