FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4327603994> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W4327603994 endingPage "1171" @default.
• W4327603994 startingPage "1151" @default.
• W4327603994 abstract "Abstract. Droughts cause enormous ecological, economical and societal damage, and they are already undergoing changes due to anthropogenic climate change. The issue of defining and quantifying droughts has long been a substantial source of uncertainty in understanding observed and projected trends. Atmosphere-based drought indicators, such as the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), are often used to quantify drought characteristics and their changes, sometimes as the sole metric representing drought. This study presents a detailed systematic analysis of SPI- and SPEI-based drought projections and their differences for Great Britain (GB), derived from the most recent set of regional climate projections for the United Kingdom (UK). We show that the choice of drought indicator has a decisive influence on the resulting projected changes in drought frequency, extent, duration and seasonality using scenarios that are 2 and 4 ∘C above pre-industrial levels. The projected increases in drought frequency and extent are far greater based on the SPEI than based on the SPI. Importantly, compared with droughts of all intensities, isolated extreme droughts are projected to increase far more with respect to frequency and extent and are also expected to show more pronounced changes in the distribution of their event durations. Further, projected intensification of the seasonal cycle is reflected in an increasing occurrence of years with (extremely) dry summers combined with wetter-than-average winters. Increasing summer droughts also form the main contribution to increases in annual droughts, especially using the SPEI. These results show that the choice of atmospheric drought index strongly influences the drought characteristics inferred from climate change projections, with a comparable impact to the uncertainty from the climate model parameters or the warming level; therefore, potential users of these indices should carefully consider the importance of potential evapotranspiration in their intended context. The stark differences between SPI- and SPEI-based projections highlight the need to better understand the interplay between increasing atmospheric evaporative demand, moisture availability and drought impacts under a changing climate. The region-dependent projected changes in drought characteristics by two warming levels have important implications for adaptation efforts in GB, and they further stress the need for rapid mitigation." @default.
• W4327603994 created "2023-03-17" @default.
• W4327603994 creator A5010903995 @default.
• W4327603994 creator A5015551186 @default.
• W4327603994 creator A5055445968 @default.
• W4327603994 creator A5074412037 @default.
• W4327603994 date "2023-03-16" @default.
• W4327603994 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W4327603994 title "Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index" @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1519662490 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1584511518 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1864897348 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1885213255 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1951873893 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1964386488 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1988644311 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1995055061 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1996746229 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W1999667422 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2005738319 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2010546627 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2015522309 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2024673387 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2042163009 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2053452238 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2066851347 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2077968790 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2078272340 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2098592094 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2108506605 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2118824280 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2122140248 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2143221148 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2149866882 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2165301409 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2168633186 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2170007746 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2183471634 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2190221061 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2412312882 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2532237599 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2594071602 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2596447085 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2724813122 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2749804634 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2760458605 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2763117712 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2765387680 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2793581487 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2800100437 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2803253519 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2810551812 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2907360250 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2915689106 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2921591521 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2922231923 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2946728960 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2971985116 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2973112600 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2982268723 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W2996256338 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3006332078 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3009902755 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3036261544 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3080112495 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3080317622 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3091492738 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3108488191 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3120676516 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3130494169 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3132311929 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3138783929 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3146680973 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3160909363 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3173084246 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3175401000 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3187426066 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3189802319 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W3198029337 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4211115190 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4220901209 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4221031097 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4283802288 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4283806390 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4293406895 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4301603461 @default.
• W4327603994 cites W4307645510 @default.
• W4327603994 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023" @default.
• W4327603994 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
• W4327603994 type Work @default.
• W4327603994 citedByCount "3" @default.
• W4327603994 countsByYear W43276039942023 @default.
• W4327603994 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W4327603994 hasAuthorship W4327603994A5010903995 @default.
• W4327603994 hasAuthorship W4327603994A5015551186 @default.
• W4327603994 hasAuthorship W4327603994A5055445968 @default.
• W4327603994 hasAuthorship W4327603994A5074412037 @default.
• W4327603994 hasBestOaLocation W43276039941 @default.

• next