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- W4366989466 abstract "We propose a new method to estimate the unobservable natural real rate of interest in the United States (US). We begin by describing the natural rate in the New Keynesian model and then theoretically linking its evolution to both demand and supply-side shocks hitting the US economy. Our results indicate that the technology shock dominated the shift in the natural real rate of interest during the sample period 1947–2017. In addition, we also examine whether the Taylor rule should be augmented for changes in the estimated natural rate. Our maximum likelihood estimation shows that the inclusion of the natural interest rate shift in the Taylor rule leads to significant improvement of the interest rate modelling." @default.
- W4366989466 created "2023-04-27" @default.
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- W4366989466 date "2023-04-24" @default.
- W4366989466 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W4366989466 title "The natural real rate of interest and monetary policy: New evidence for the <scp>US</scp>" @default.
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- W4366989466 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.2819" @default.
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