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- W4367677369 abstract "Abstract Howson (2000) contends that the No-Miracles argument fails as an argument in support of scientific realism because it commits the base-rate fallacy. Psillos (2009) has defended the argument by appealing to cases that involve conditional probabilities but where base-rate information can properly be ignored. I show that Psillos’s defense of the No-Miracles argument is inadequate and that the prospects for a purely probabilistic formulation of the argument are dim. I end by considering whether interpreting the argument as an inference to the best explanation might better serve the scientific realist, concluding that such an approach would limit the realist’s ability to effectively counter the Pessimistic Induction." @default.
- W4367677369 created "2023-05-03" @default.
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- W4367677369 date "2023-05-02" @default.
- W4367677369 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W4367677369 title "On No-Miracles and the Base-Rate Fallacy" @default.
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- W4367677369 doi "https://doi.org/10.1017/psa.2023.80" @default.
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