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- W4381509764 abstract "Abstract Guessing is a familiar activity, one we engage in when we are uncertain of the answer to a question under discussion. It is also an activity that lends itself to normative evaluation: some guesses are better than others. The question that interests me here is what makes for a good guess. In recent work, Dorst and Mandelkern have argued that good guesses are distinguished from bad ones by how well they optimize a tradeoff between accuracy and specificity . Here I argue that Dorst and Mandelkern’s implementation of this idea fails to satisfy some plausible constraints on good guesses, and I develop an alternative implementation that satisfies the relevant constraints. The result is a new account of good guesses which retains the positive aspects of Dorst and Mandelkern’s proposal, but without the drawbacks." @default.
- W4381509764 created "2023-06-22" @default.
- W4381509764 creator A5084980034 @default.
- W4381509764 date "2023-05-15" @default.
- W4381509764 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W4381509764 title "Good guesses as accuracy-specificity tradeoffs" @default.
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- W4381509764 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-022-01915-1" @default.
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