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- W4382118097 abstract "A key motivation for understanding the physics of the climate change effects of air quality pollutants is to make future projections. However, the first step in this process involves economic and political science. Economic models are used to outline plausible future scenarios of development spanning possible political pathways. These can range from sustainable pathways with very strong climate mitigation to pathways with little action to mitigate climate or air pollution. As time has evolved emissions of air quality pollutants have decreased considerably compared to the scenarios used in the earlier IPCC reports. Various models are used to make projections of air pollutants and greenhouse gases based on these scenarios. These range from simple box models of the atmosphere and climate to complex Earth system models of climate, chemistry, and terrestrial and oceanic ecosystems. These models have grown more sophisticated over the last few decades and they are regularly compared with each other in model intercomparison projects driven by the emission scenarios. These projects have been valuable for quantifying the contributions of air quality pollutants to future radiative forcing and climate change. The latest generations of scenarios and models have been used to quantify the climate impacts of strengthening air quality policies." @default.
- W4382118097 created "2023-06-27" @default.
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- W4382118097 date "2023-01-01" @default.
- W4382118097 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W4382118097 title "Future Prediction of Radiative Forcing by Scenarios and Global Temperature Rise" @default.
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- W4382118097 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2527-8_32-1" @default.
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