FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W4385655285> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W4385655285 endingPage "12142" @default.
• W4385655285 startingPage "12142" @default.
• W4385655285 abstract "Adapting to human-induced climate change is becoming an increasingly important aspect of sustainable development. To be able to do this effectively, it is important to know how much human influence has contributed to observed climate trends. Climate detection and attribution (D&A) studies achieve this by estimating scaling factors usually obtained by performing a least squares regression of the observed trending climate variable on the equivalent variable simulated by a climate model. This study proposed instead to estimate scaling factors by using the econometric approach of dynamically modelling the time series as a cointegrating Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) time series process. It is shown that a 2nd-order cointegrating VAR(2) model is theoretically justified if the observed and simulated variables can be represented as a one-box AR(1) response to a common integrated forcing. The VAR(2) model can be expressed as a Vector Error-Correction Model (VECM) and then fitted to the data to obtain the cointegration relationship, the stationary linear combination of the two variables, from which the scaling factor is then easily obtained. Estimates of the scaling factor from the VAR(2) model are critically compared to those from Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Total Least Squares (TLS) for annual Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST) data simulated by a simple stochastic model of the carbon–climate system and for historical simulations from 16 climate models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) experiment. Results from the toy model simulations show that the slope estimates from OLS are negatively biased, TLS estimates are less biased but have high variance, and the VAR(2) estimates are unbiased and have lower variance and provide the most accurate estimates with smallest mean squared error. Similar behaviour is noted in the CMIP5 data. Hypothesis tests on the VAR(2) fits found strong evidence of a cointegrating relationship with the observations for all the CMIP5 simulations." @default.
• W4385655285 created "2023-08-09" @default.
• W4385655285 creator A5005178676 @default.
• W4385655285 creator A5067900460 @default.
• W4385655285 creator A5084122924 @default.
• W4385655285 date "2023-08-08" @default.
• W4385655285 modified "2023-09-30" @default.
• W4385655285 title "More Accurate Climate Trend Attribution by Using Cointegrating Vector Time Series Models" @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1574019121 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1647295747 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1872319870 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1964857228 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1974992986 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1976319295 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W1978891160 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2001049552 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2009117726 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2010207485 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2024694457 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2029884299 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2039903648 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2040051789 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2047791735 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2060115640 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2063340639 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2065672819 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2074158860 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2088294596 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2092072317 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2095364399 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2108298905 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2110603299 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2114151293 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2118611678 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2141388963 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2144380346 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2146840333 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2150282727 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2153562738 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2175805510 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2461765867 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2547818897 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W258082901 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2583312854 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2619280447 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2736700345 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2767934905 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2784008656 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2795891046 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2947012281 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W2951181856 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W3016657562 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W3110994086 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W4206428854 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W4220896849 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W4230206799 @default.
• W4385655285 cites W4312258136 @default.
• W4385655285 doi "https://doi.org/10.3390/su151612142" @default.
• W4385655285 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
• W4385655285 type Work @default.
• W4385655285 citedByCount "0" @default.
• W4385655285 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W4385655285 hasAuthorship W4385655285A5005178676 @default.
• W4385655285 hasAuthorship W4385655285A5067900460 @default.
• W4385655285 hasAuthorship W4385655285A5084122924 @default.
• W4385655285 hasBestOaLocation W43856552851 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C133029050 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C134306372 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C143724316 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C145162277 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C151730666 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C159877910 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C182365436 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C185429906 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C197115733 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C9936470 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C99656134 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConcept C99844830 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C105795698 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C127313418 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C132651083 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C133029050 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C134306372 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C143724316 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C145162277 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C149782125 @default.
• W4385655285 hasConceptScore W4385655285C151406439 @default.

• next