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- W4386594743 abstract "Summer extreme flooding in Central Europe is often associated with Vb-cyclones which travel through the Mediterranean, then northwards east of the Alps towards Central Europe. Extreme convective precipitation intensities scale with the Clausius-Clapeyron relation under global warming. This study quantifies the importance of convective precipitation during Vb-events in present and in warmer climate by simulating selected Vb-events with convection-permitting grid-spacing. A simple convective precipitation diagnostic is compared against Lagrangian convective cell tracking. The simple method shows skill identifying convective precipitation in coarser simulations with parameterized convection. On average, 30% of precipitation is classified as convective in reanalysis and historical EC-Earth3 driven simulations. This fraction increases to 52% in a warmer climate under SSP5-8.5 scenario. The increase is explained by a frequency increase of the convectively active cut-off low-pressure systems and a doubling of the convective fraction in the less active trough-like Vb-cyclones, suggesting amplified flood risk in a warmer climate." @default.
- W4386594743 created "2023-09-12" @default.
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- W4386594743 date "2023-09-11" @default.
- W4386594743 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
- W4386594743 title "On Convection During Vb-Cyclone Events in Present and Warmer Climate" @default.
- W4386594743 doi "https://doi.org/10.22541/essoar.169447440.03083598/v1" @default.
- W4386594743 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
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