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• W4386945812 abstract "<strong class=journal-contentHeaderColor>Abstract.</strong> The major rivers on the Tibetan Plateau supply important freshwater resources to riparian regions, but are undergoing significant climate change in recent decades. Understanding the sensitivities of hydrological processes to climate change is important for water resource management, but large divergences existed in previous studies because of the uncertainties of hydrological models and climate projection data. Meanwhile, the spatial pattern of local hydrological sensitivities was poorly explored despite the strong heterogeneity on the Tibetan Plateau. This study adopted the climate perturbation method to analyze the hydrological sensitivities of a typical large mountainous basin (Yarlung Tsangpo River, YTR) to climate change. We utilized the tracer-aided hydrological model Tsinghua Representative Elementary Watershed-Tracer-aided version (THREW-T) to simulate the hydrological and cryospheric processes in the YTR basin. Datasets of multiple objectives and internal stations were used to validate the model, to provide confidence to the baseline simulation and the sensitivity analysis. Results indicated that: (1) The THREW-T model performed well on simulating the streamflow, snow cover area (SCA), glacier mass balance (GMB), and stream water isotope, ensuring good representation of the key cryospheric processes and a reasonable estimation of runoff components. The model performed acceptably on simulating the streamflow at eight internal stations located in the mainstream and two major tributaries, indicating that the spatial pattern of hydrological processes was reflected by the model. (2) Increasing temperature led to decreasing annual runoff, smaller inter-annual variation, more even intra-annual distribution, and an earlier maximum runoff. It also influenced the runoff regime by increasing the contributions of rainfall and glacier melt overland runoff, but decreasing the subsurface runoff and snowmelt overland runoff. Increasing precipitation had the opposite effect to increasing temperature. (3) The local runoff change in response to increasing temperature varied significantly, with changing rate of -18.6 % to 54.3 % for 5 °C of warming. The glacier area ratio (GAR) was the dominant factor of the spatial pattern of hydrological sensitivities to both perturbed temperature and precipitation. Some regions had a non-monotonic runoff change rate in response to increasing temperature, the GAR and mean annual precipitation (MAP) of which showed linear relation, and formed the boundary of regions with different trends in response to climate warming in the GAR-MAP plot." @default.
• W4386945812 created "2023-09-23" @default.
• W4386945812 creator A5006447540 @default.
• W4386945812 date "2023-09-23" @default.
• W4386945812 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
• W4386945812 title "Reply on RC3" @default.
• W4386945812 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-182-ac4" @default.
• W4386945812 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
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