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- W4387437513 endingPage "978" @default.
- W4387437513 startingPage "959" @default.
- W4387437513 abstract "Abstract. Here we investigate how uncertainties in the solar and volcanic forcing records of the past millennium affect the large-scale temperature response using a two-box impulse response model. We use different published solar forcing records and present a new volcanic forcing ensemble that accounts for random uncertainties in eruption dating and sulfur injection amount. The simulations are compared to proxy reconstructions from PAGES 2k and Northern Hemispheric tree ring data. We find that low solar forcing is most consistent with all the proxy reconstructions, even when accounting for volcanic uncertainty. We also find that the residuals are in line with CMIP6 control variability at centennial timescales. Volcanic forcing uncertainty induces a significant spread in the temperature response, especially at periods of peak forcing. For individual eruptions and superposed epoch analyses, volcanic uncertainty can strongly affect the agreement with proxy reconstructions and partly explain known proxy–model discrepancies." @default.
- W4387437513 created "2023-10-09" @default.
- W4387437513 creator A5015083467 @default.
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- W4387437513 creator A5073412476 @default.
- W4387437513 creator A5083816490 @default.
- W4387437513 creator A5090707122 @default.
- W4387437513 date "2023-05-15" @default.
- W4387437513 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
- W4387437513 title "The effect of uncertainties in natural forcing records on simulated temperature during the last millennium" @default.
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