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- W4387640981 abstract "The Supreme Court’s ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization (2022) has reinvigorated interest in public opinion regarding abortion rights. With recent cross-sections of polling data revealing that young adults are strongly pro-choice and markedly more pro-choice than older adults, it is tempting to conclude that, in time, the Court’s decision will become starkly counter-majoritarian. However, this projection is naïve and could be misleading. Cross-sectional dominant data are incapable of distinguishing between age (A), period (P), and cohort (C) effects—the notorious identification problem: . Analyzing five decades of General Social Survey (GSS) data, we use Bayesian hierarchical models to estimate the differences in respondents’ attitudes toward the legal right to an abortion in the United States across ages, survey years, and generations. We find larger differences in attitudes across ages and survey years, but only small differences across generations. This finding calls into question the projection that the Court’s ruling will become increasingly counter-majoritarian. Beginning at about the age of 40, Americans have followed a consistent trajectory of increasingly conservative abortion attitudes. Finally, larger differences across survey years indicate that American public opinion toward abortion is malleable in the near term—with the data revealing contemporaneous, directional shifts in attitudes across society." @default.
- W4387640981 created "2023-10-15" @default.
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- W4387640981 date "2023-10-13" @default.
- W4387640981 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
- W4387640981 title "Generational Differences in Abortion Attitudes in the United States: Will Dobbs v. Jackson Become Starkly Counter-Majoritarian?" @default.
- W4387640981 doi "https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/jmz96" @default.
- W4387640981 hasPublicationYear "2023" @default.
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