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- W47341215 abstract "This paper updates the examination of aggregate and disaggregate import and export demand functions for the United States reported in Chinn (forthcoming), extending the sample up to the 1975q1-2004q4 period. Using the Johansen maximum likelihood approach, an export demand function is readily identified. Cointegrating relationships are identified for all aggregates, although the import price elasticities are quite low for aggregate imports. The resulting point estimates also confirm the persistence of the income asymmetry first noted by Houthakker and Magee (1969), although in a slightly diminished form. In addition, non-oil, non-computer imports are found to be much more sensitive to exchange rate changes than aggregate imports. Nonetheless, the price elasticities are still quite low relative to other estimates. Moreover, approximately onesixth of US imports are apparently insensitive to exchange rate variations. One policy implication of these findings is that dollar depreciation -- unaccompanied by a realignment of growth trends -- is insufficient to substantially reduce the US trade deficit." @default.
- W47341215 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W47341215 date "2005-01-01" @default.
- W47341215 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W47341215 title "Still Doomed to Deficits: An Update on US Trade Elasticities" @default.
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