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- W5373602 abstract "Abstract: This paper examines the impact of NAFTA on trade as well as migration flows between Mexico, Canada, and the United States. Several questions are being investigated: Can the increase in trade volume among NAFTA countries be attributed to the reduction in trade barriers since 1994? Is there evidence for a significant shift in the pattern of migration within North American since 1994? Is there evidence that observed changes in trade flows on the one hand and migration flows on the other are linked, and to what extent did NAFTA affect this potential link? Our findings point to a positive impact of NAFTA on aggregate trade flows between all three countries, and in particular between Mexico and the United States. However, at a more disaggregate level, NAFTA appears to have a positive trade impact on no more than half of the industries analyzed. With regard to legal migration, we do not find a noticeable NAFTA impact on long-term trends, while the short-run impact is more difficult to assess due to competing factors such as changes in immigration laws and business cycle patterns. Finally, there is little evidence for a positive or negative relationship between the change in trade flows and the change in legal migration patterns both before and after NAFTA went into effect." @default.
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- W5373602 date "2004-01-01" @default.
- W5373602 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W5373602 title "Trade and Migration in North America: The Role of NAFTA" @default.
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