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- W56397206 abstract "South Africa is experiencing an HIV epidemic of shattering proportions. Demographic projections of the epidemic indicate that HIV/AIDS will cause a rapid change in the age and sex pattern of deaths with a large increase in the number of deaths among young adults particularly young women. According to various models these changes in mortality were expected to be large enough for use in monitoring AIDS mortality by examining changes in the number of deaths by age and sex. In particular recorded deaths were compared with the number projected by the ASSA600 model released by the Actuarial Society of South Africa in 1998. Overall the pattern in the empirical data is largely consistent with the pattern predicted by models of the AIDS epidemic in particular the ASSA600 model suggesting that it is reasonable to interpret the increase in young adult mortality as being essentially a consequence of HIV/AIDS. The study demonstrated the value of supplementing the routine vital statistics with rapid mortality surveillance making use of administrative data from the Population Register." @default.
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- W56397206 date "2002-01-01" @default.
- W56397206 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W56397206 title "Some implications of HIV / AIDS on adult mortality in South Africa." @default.
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