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- W577704824 abstract "This paper aims at analyzing the influence of climate on the number of injury accidents and fatalities, aggregated for the whole of France, and for each main network category (main roads, motorways, secondary roads and urban roads). A time series analysis including exogenous variables has been developed for each indicator of accident risk and gravity, on a monthly basis for the period 1975-1999. Risk exposure, when available, and transitory risk factors such as climate and calendar configuration have been taken into account. The climate variables measure rainfall and temperature. Both monthly averaged variables and atypicity variables – which take into account the extreme climate values in the month – have been used as climate variables. The results of this analysis show significant links between the climate variables and the risk indicators, on the whole of France and on network categories as well. On main roads and motorways, the two road categories on which the traffic volume is measured on a monthly basis, the global effect of climate has been separated in two components: its direct effect on the number of injury accidents and fatalities, the traffic volume being constant, and its indirect effect via the traffic volume. Variations of the risk level have been highlighted in certain situations, under the influence of rainfall and temperature variations. These aggregate results need to be analyzed further on a daily basis, and the links with behavioral variables need to be studied, in order to complete these first results." @default.
- W577704824 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W577704824 date "2004-01-01" @default.
- W577704824 modified "2023-09-22" @default.
- W577704824 title "Climate, Road Traffic and Road Risk: An Aggregate Approach" @default.
- W577704824 hasPublicationYear "2004" @default.
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