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- W580845947 abstract "This study details a methodology for incorporating weather effects in an Highway capacity manual (HCM) based Freeway Reliability analysis. The methodology is capable of estimating historical weather probabilities as well as predicting future year weather probabilities by weather condition from a 10 year historical average probability database. Probabilities for historical analyses are directly calculated from detailed hourly weather reports for the period of time that freeway reliability is reported. The methodology is applied for the 101 largest metropolitan areas in the US to create a probability database for use in a probabilistic scenario generator to incorporate non-recurring effects in HCM freeway operations analysis. In addition to presenting the methodology, sample results are validated at four locations. Probabilities of each weather type are shown with a confidence interval based on the variability of probabilities by year within the 10 year sample. Finally, prediction errors are calculated with multiple sample sizes. The results show that prediction errors stabilize near the 10 year sample size." @default.
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- W580845947 date "2013-01-01" @default.
- W580845947 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W580845947 title "Incorporating Weather Effects in HCM Reliability Analysis" @default.
- W580845947 hasPublicationYear "2013" @default.
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