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• W583500587 abstract "In a model where banks face a capital sufficiency requirement, we demonstrate that news about a fall in the expected return on a portfolio of international long bonds held by a bank leads to an immediate and persistent fall in economic activity. Even if the news never materializes, economic activity falls below steady state for several periods, followed by a recovery. The portfolio adjustment induced by the capital sufficiency requirements leads to a rise in loan rates and tighter credit conditions, which trigger the fall in activity. We contribute to the news-shock literature by showing that imperfect signals about future financial returns can create business cycles without relying on the usual suspects—shocks to technology, preferences, or fiscal policy—and to the emerging economy business cycle literature in that disturbances in world financial markets can cause domestic business cycles without shocks to the world interest rate or to country spreads." @default.
• W583500587 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W583500587 creator A5052394477 @default.
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• W583500587 date "2016-06-10" @default.
• W583500587 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
• W583500587 title "FINANCIAL NEWS, BANKS, AND BUSINESS CYCLES" @default.
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• W583500587 doi "https://doi.org/10.1017/s1365100516000134" @default.
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