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• W5899718 abstract "The international political economy of oil has multiple, important influences on peace and security. Oil-exporting states, or petrostates, engage in militarized interstate disputes (MIDS) at a much higher rate than non-petrostates. Why are some but not all petrostates inclined to adopt dissatisfied, aggressive foreign policies and to engage in MIDS on that basis? This paper investigates this question by testing a theory that proposes that when revolutionary regimes come to power in petrostates, they have a dramatically higher propensity to engage in MIDS than comparable non-petrostates. This theory is tested with statistical regression analysis using a new quantitative dataset that identifies revolutionary regimes in the period 1945-2001. The results show that petro-revolutionary regimes constitute a special threat to international peace and security. This evidence implies that one of the standard explanations of the relationship between revolution and war, based on a theory of “balance of threat”, is not fully satisfactory. Moreover, the findings challenge the conventional understanding of the link between oil and war. Reader’s Note: This paper is a modified draft version of the quantitative empirical chapter of my dissertation on International Security and Oil-Exporting States. As such, it is meant to be read in connection within a larger whole, but where possible I have tried to give context from the rest of the dissertation in this paper. Thanks are owed to my dissertation committee Robert Keohane, Christina Davis, and Jennifer Widner, as well as to Sarah Bush, Jessica Green, Mark Melamed, and Jordan Tama for comments on earlier drafts of this paper. Financial support from the Bradley Foundation, the Woodrow Wilson School, and the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada is gratefully acknowledged. Oil and Revolutionary Regimes: A Toxic Mix Jeff Colgan, 2008" @default.
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• W5899718 date "2008-01-01" @default.
• W5899718 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W5899718 title "Oil and Revolutionary Regimes: A Toxic Mix" @default.
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