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- W623116241 abstract "Sometimes, it seems likely that a technological advance will improve aviation safety, but it is not clear by how much. Uncertainty might be especially great when the innovation strengthens the capabilities of an existing system rather than creates entirely new capabilities. For example, newly-available “name tags” can enhance ground surveillance systems by displaying for air traffic controllers the identity of each plane on the runway. But, when two such planes are in danger of colliding, how much benefit arises because the controller knows that they are (say) United #306 and American #424?Focusing on an example about added functionality for a ground collision avoidance system, we describe a method for generating probabilistic estimates of benefits for a technology not yet deployed. The effort starts with a group activity involving technology experts and system users, in which relevant past events are studied and discussed one at a time. Then key participants are asked individually to assess the probabili..." @default.
- W623116241 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W623116241 date "2004-07-01" @default.
- W623116241 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W623116241 title "Effectiveness Analysis for Aviation-Safety Measures in the Absence of Actual Data" @default.
- W623116241 doi "https://doi.org/10.2514/atcq.12.3.275" @default.
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