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- W624379304 abstract "Basic aspects of the atmospheric observing system and atmospheric data assimilation are summarised. Characteristics of the assimilation of observational data from the late 1950s onwards in the ERA-40 reanalysis project, and of medium-range forecasts run from the ERA-40 analyses, are used to illustrate improvement in the observing system and to place in context the improvement of the operational forecasts of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) over the past 25 years. Recent advances in operational forecasting are discussed further. It is shown that the analyses of two centres, ECMWF and the Met Office, have converged substantially, but that there remain nevertheless significant differences between these analyses, and between the forecasts made from them. These differences are used to illustrate several aspects of data assimilation and predictability. Inferences from differences between successive daily forecasts and from spectra of forecast errors are also discussed for the ECMWF system." @default.
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- W624379304 date "2006-07-27" @default.
- W624379304 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W624379304 title "Observations, assimilation and the improvement of global weather prediction – some results from operational forecasting and ERA-40" @default.
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- W624379304 doi "https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9780511617652.017" @default.
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