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• W638611403 abstract "We analyze how the impact of a change in the sovereign debt-to-GDP ratio on economic growth depends on the state of the financial market. A dynamic growth model is put forward demonstrating that debt affects macroeconomic activity in a non-linear manner due to amplifications from the financial sector. For thirteen industrialized economies we study empirically the relationship between the GDP-growth rate, the debt-GDP ratio, and the financial stress index for the period 1980-2010 using quarterly data and dynamic single-country and dynamic panel threshold regression methods. We find that the debt-to-GDP ratio has impaired economic growth primarily during times of high financial stress and only for countries of the European Monetary Union and not for the stand-alone countries in our sample. A high debt-to-GDP ratio by itself does not seem to necessarily negatively affect growth if financial markets are calm." @default.
• W638611403 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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• W638611403 date "2013-10-01" @default.
• W638611403 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W638611403 title "Financial Stress, Sovereign Debt and Economic Activity in Industrialized Countries: Evidence from Nonlinear Dynamic Panels" @default.
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