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- W648503607 abstract "This report presents detailed population projections by age and sex for the countries of Africa North America Latin America Asia Europe and Oceania at 5 year intervals from 1980-2000 and at 25 year intervals from 2000 to the year in which the population becomes stationary in each country. For each of the 165 separate units the following information is presented in the accompanying tables: population by sex and 5-year age groups 1980-2155; birthrate death rate and rate of natural increase for 5-year periods begininng with 1980; gross reproduction rate and total fertility rates for 5-year periods; expectation of life at birth and infant mortality rates for males and females separately for 5-year periods; and net reproduction rates for 5-year periods. According to this projection the total world population would increase from 4.421 billion in 1980 to 6.160 billion in the year 2000. The average growth rate during 1980-2000 would be about 1.66%/year decreasing from 1.70% in 1980 to 1.47% in the year 2000. The birthrate would decline from 28.0 to 23.4 and the death rate from 11.0 to 8.7. The share of the population in the less developed regions would increase from 74% in 1980 to 79% by the year 2000. The average growth rate during 1980-2000 for the less developed regions would be 1.98%/year compared to 0.59%/year for the more developed regions. The estimated hypothetical stationary population of the world according to the current projection is 10.4 billion. Only for 2 of the countries of the world would the total population increase above a billion mark. These are India and China. Nigeria is the 3rd country in order of magnitude of longterm growth potential with an expected stationary population of half a billion. When all countries reach stationary population there would be 23 countries with 100 million population or more of which 11 would be in Asia 8 in Africa 2 in Latin America. The other two are the US and the USSR. The hypothetical size of the stationary population and the estimates of the years when replacement level fertility would be reached are speculative and should be considered as predictions. They provide a summary indication of the longrun implications of recent trends on the basis of highly stylized assumptions." @default.
- W648503607 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W648503607 date "1982-07-31" @default.
- W648503607 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W648503607 title "Short-term population projection, 1980-2000, and long-term projection, 2000 to stationary stage by age and sex for all countries of the world" @default.
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