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- W652682336 abstract "This paper is intended to provoke discussion and debate rather than to serve as a definitive statement, even if such were possible, on the prospects for demand forecasting in the 1990s. My brief from the conference organisers was to present a research-based paper to comment on the suitability of current forecasting methods. I will begin by setting out what I understand to be the purposes of forecasting and will then discuss the criteria for assessing them. After indicating something of the range of techniques currently in use I will consider how they perform against the criteria and highlight some of the fundamental problems. I will then outline what I see to be the current issues facing forecasts in the UK and will dwell on the problems currently associated with the use of the National Road Traffic Forecast. As possible ways forward I will consider how existing techniques might be better applied, what new and updated techniques might be introduced and what better use could be made of the computing and monitoring technologies which have recently become available. (A). For the covering abstract of this conference, see IRRD 853048." @default.
- W652682336 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W652682336 date "1991-01-01" @default.
- W652682336 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W652682336 title "FORECASTING TRAVEL DEMAND: CAN WE DO BETTER?" @default.
- W652682336 hasPublicationYear "1991" @default.
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