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- W654892685 abstract "This paper examines the factors influencing the ownership of vehicles in low income countries and the use which is made of them. It is also concerned with forecasting, and this practical orientation colours the overall approach of the study. We are concerned with developing a robust framework of analysis which also permits future patterns of vehicle use and ownership to be predicted. The raison d'?tre underlying the work is very much a perception that considerably improved forecasting models of vehicle ownership and use are required for economic planning purposes in less economically developed countries. Previous work in this area has been fragmented and often case-specific. Car ownership and use is expanding throughout the world. While much of the current expansion is in the developed world, growth in many poorer nations is, nevertheless, occurring. The implications for these latter nations are being felt in terms of pressures on road networks together with high import bills for vehicles and fuel. Since the growth in vehicle ownership is continuing hand-in-hand with rapid urbanisation, the strains are particularly severe in cities (Bayliss, 1981). Rising vehicle fleets also impose strains on the vehicle maintenance facilities available and the administrative structure required to police and regulate the road system. Road traffic also contributes significantly to local, transboundary and global environmental degradation." @default.
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- W654892685 date "1993-01-01" @default.
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- W654892685 title "MODELLING VEHICLE OWNERSHIP AND USE IN LOW INCOME COUNTRIES" @default.
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