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- W6710649 abstract "In the Mexican Peso crisis 1994/95, the lack of readily available information, particularly regarding monetary aggregates, has often been commented on. This paper scrutinizes the event and analyzes empirically whether information disparity with respect to economic fundamentals attributed to triggering the crisis. Using historical forecast data, it is shown that uncertainties as measured by the forecast variation significantly influenced the pressure on the fixed Peso rate. Moreover, the impact of information disparity is contingent on the prevailing market sentiment. For the Mexican case it seems that the central bank’s strategy of reducing transparency about the level of currency reserves was detrimental precisely because the market was generally optimistic with regard to the monetary development. Regarding information about the real economy, however, we find that rather decreasing uncertainty combined with a pessimistic market sentiment seems to have contributed to the crisis. JEL-Classification F31, D84, D82" @default.
- W6710649 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W6710649 date "2003-01-01" @default.
- W6710649 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W6710649 title "The Role of Information Disparity in the Mexican Peso Crisis 1994/95: Empirical Evidence" @default.
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