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- W72835175 abstract "Here I briefly review the extent to which invasions can be predicted, focusing on prediction using mathematical models of population dynamics. At the outset it is worth stressing that the best prediction is provided by empirical precedent, and not by a model at all. For example, at different times three species of Anolis lizards have been introduced to the island of Bermuda, an island that had not possessed Anolis lizards. The course of these three successive invasions has been chronicled by Wingate (1965). Also, experimental introductions of anoles have been made and carefully monitored by Schoener and Schoener (1983a) to small cays in the Bahamas, and by Roughgarden et al. (1984) to a small cay in the eastern Caribbean. This information provides an excellent basis for predicting the course of introductions of Anolis lizards to other small islands in the Caribbean region. Nonetheless, we cannot, in practice, develop empirical precedents for all instances where we might inquire about the likelihood of an invasion, and the need for models to aid in transferring knowledge from one situation to another is certain to continue." @default.
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- W72835175 date "1986-01-01" @default.
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- W72835175 title "Predicting Invasions and Rates of Spread" @default.
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- W72835175 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-4988-7_11" @default.
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