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- W749741042 abstract "To determine the impact of population and employment distribution changes as well as additional population and employment growth on air quality, regional vehicle kilometers of travel and emissions were obtained for four land-development-pattern scenarios for the year 2000. The scenarios include two activity-center scenarios, a dispersion scenario, and a centralization scenario. A fifth scenario was developed on the basis of additional growth beyond the forecast level. The distribution pattern of population and employment had little or no effect on ambient air quality; the alternative patterns showed little variation. The predicted differences in ambient air quality were less than the potential margin of modeling error. Carbon monoxide levels varied by only 6 percent. The centralization scenario produced the highest concentration, but one that is still 43 percent below the federal standard. Ozone predictions showed even less variation; the range was only 2 percent. Given a regional total, the distribution pattern appears to have little effect on regional air quality. A second result is that, although the absolute level of population has an effect on air pollution levels, these two variables are not directly proportional. A 27 percent increase in population resulted in a 16 percent increase in carbon monoxide emissions but only in an 8 percent increase in predicted maximum ambient concentrations. Large changes in population and employment produced smaller changes in ambient air quality. /Author/" @default.
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- W749741042 date "1979-01-01" @default.
- W749741042 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W749741042 title "ANALYSIS OF AIR QUALITY SENSITIVITY TO DEVELOPMENT PATTERN CHANGES AND GROWTH LEVELES" @default.
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