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- W809010717 abstract "The main objective of this paper is to present forecasts of Australian sea port activity to 2029-30, taking into account GDP growth rates of the world economy dampened by the global financial crisis (GFC). To provide some context, these are compared to equivalent forecasts using the same models calibrated using pre-GFC GDP growth assumptions. The differences between these two scenarios are used to assess the impact of the GFC. Forecasting models are developed using data on maritime trade volumes, Australian and world population, Australian real final demand, and GDP of Australia’s trading partners from 1995-96 to 2007–08. These models are used to forecast the number of containers and tonnes of non-containerised freight loaded and unloaded in each mainland state capital and other ports. Estimates of elasticities with respect to GDP or final demand per head are also presented." @default.
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- W809010717 date "2009-09-01" @default.
- W809010717 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W809010717 title "Australian sea port activity to 2029–30" @default.
- W809010717 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
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