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• W820163267 abstract "The aim of this paper is to estimate the Brazilian neutral real interest rate and, based on the results, evaluate the stance of monetary policy in Brazil in the last decade. We present some different methodologies of estimations, such as: i) statistical filters; ii) a state space macroeconomic model. By making use of monthly data for the period 2002-2012, and taking into account the influence of the international interest rate in the Brazilian economy, we conclude that the country s natural rate of interest is around 3.5%. As far as monetary policy stance is concerned a comparison between the interest rate and output gaps shows a countercyclical response to business cycle fluctuations. But a comparison between the interest rate and inflation gaps shows that recently a higher inflation rate has not been accompanied by a lower interest rate gap." @default.
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• W820163267 date "2014-01-01" @default.
• W820163267 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W820163267 title "THE NEUTRAL INTEREST RATE AND THE STANCE OF MONETARY POLICY IN BRAZIL" @default.
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