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- W821128117 abstract "SummaryAs Canada has formally withdrawn from the Kyoto Accord, what can we do to contribute meaningfully to reducing global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions? Climate policy activists and experts have long argued that adopting emissions-reduction targets and implementing policies to try to meet these targets is the best approach. In this study, Isabel Galiana, Jeremy Leonard and Christopher Green take a contrarian view. They argue that the policy focus on meeting GHG emissions reduction targets over the past 15 years has been a failure, and that adopting a technology-led policy would be a more effective way for Canada to contribute to global climate change mitigation.The authors begin by describing the primary drivers of GHG emissions to illustrate the degree of decarbonization of the economy required to meet the emissions-reduction target of 50 percent by 2050 set by the G-8 countries, and they find that it would entail a virtual tripling of the current global rate of decline in the carbon intensity of output. Even if aggressive carbon pricing did encourage wider use of existing low-carbon technologies, evidence casts considerable doubt on whether these technologies can deliver the necessary improvements in energy efficiency and reductions in carbon intensity - and certainly not without incurring major costs in terms of economic growth.Galiana, Leonard and Green's conclusions about energy technology development differ considerably from those in much of the literature, which are based on scenarios that assume implausibly large declines in global energy and carbon intensities, even without government intervention. As a result, these widely used scenarios greatly understate the magnitude of the technology challenge in stabilizing climate change and the economic costs of mitigation.Essentially, nothing short of a technological revolution will be required to sufficiently cut emissions. There has been a remarkable lack of progress in technology development and emissions reduction in the past 20 years, and the main reason, according to the authors, is that policymakers have put the emissions-reduction chicken before the technology-development egg.While many economists assume that the use of carbon pricing will induce the development of new energy technologies by the private sector, the authors disagree. They argue that what is needed is basic scientific research, followed by testing and demonstration which, due to their public good characteristics, will require governments to play a role.The authors recommend that Canada take a lead in developing next-generation technologies by establishing a low-carbon energy research council - funded by a modest carbon tax - to provide secure, long-term funding for research and development. As a large producer and user of energy, Canada could benefit directly from the development of low-carbon-emitting technologies. Given its minor 2-percent share of global emissions, this would also be the most globally effective contribution it could make.ResumeLe Canada s'etant officiellement retire du protocole de Kyoto, comment peut-il aujourd'hui contribuer efficacement a la reduction des emissions mondiales de gaz a effet de serre (GES) ? Selon les experts et intervenants en politiques climatiques, la meilleure approche consiste a definir des cibles de reduction puis a prendre des mesures en consequence. Or dans cette etude, Isabel Galiana, Jeremy Leonard et Christopher Green soutiennent a contre-courant que cette priorite donnee depuis 15 ans aux cibles de reduction des GES est un echec et que le Canada serait mieux avise d'adopter une strategie axee sur le developpement de nouvelles technologies qui permettront reellement d'attenuer les changements climatiques.Apres avoir decrit les grands facteurs d'emission de GES pour illustrer quel niveau de « decarbonisation » de l'economie permettrait d'atteindre en 2050 la cible de reduction de 50 p. …" @default.
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- W821128117 date "2012-07-01" @default.
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- W821128117 title "A Technology-Led Climate Change Policy for Canada" @default.
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