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• W84326996 abstract "We approach the task of monitoring financial stability within a framework that balances the costs and benefits of identifying future crisis-like conditions based on past U.S. financial crises. Our results indicate that the National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago is a highly predictive and robust indicator of financial stress at leading horizons of up to one year, with measures of leverage playing a crucial role in signaling financial imbalances. At longer forecast horizons, we propose an alternative sub-index of the NFCI that captures the relationship between non-financial leverage, financial stress, and economic activity." @default.
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• W84326996 date "2012-09-20" @default.
• W84326996 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W84326996 title "Diagnosing the Financial System: Financial Conditions and Financial Stress" @default.
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