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- W862455 abstract "This paper examines the predictability of US international competitiveness. It divides the forecasting problem into two parts: the aggregate trade balance and the commodity composition of the trade balance. The aggregate trade balance is expressed in terms of GNP growth, comparative production costs, and the import elasticity. Empirical relationships are derived between aggregate export performance and import elasticity. The commodity composition of trade is expressed in terms of the level of industrial development. Conceptual work is needed to analyze policy-oriented issues such as trade barriers, tariff policies and technology transfer. 4 references, 7 figures." @default.
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- W862455 date "1986-03-01" @default.
- W862455 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W862455 title "Forecasting the international competitiveness of American industry: a preliminary assessment" @default.
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