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- W987795800 abstract "People wlho wish to apply probability, statistics, and mathematics to legal work find careful analyses of the facts in specific cases rewarding. People v. Collins' is a particularly good case for such study, because the prosecution used a probabilistic argument to try to establish an identification. Unfortunately, students tend to point out an initial difficulty in the prosecutor's argument and then dismiss the case. As the court recognized, however, the issues involved are deeper and deserve far more attention. Professor Hans Zeisel is famed for his ability to give clear explanations of very difficult statistical ideas. In his honor, we shall try to emulate him by discussing some of the issues raised by this case in a dialogue between a lawyer and a statistician. Neither of the participants presumes the other to have a specialist's knowledge of his field.2 The dialogue is intended to discuss three points. First, it considers the question of whether dependent or independent probabilities were the basis for the prosecutor's argument in Collins and offers an interpretation more favorable to the prosecution than that usually given. Next, it suggests that data could have been assembled to make a reasonable estimate of the order of magnitude of the probability. The prosecution, however, did not provide any such evidence, and the court considered the consequences of accepting the prosecution's unsupported numbers. The court, in an appendix to its opinion, developed a prob-" @default.
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- W987795800 date "2007-02-03" @default.
- W987795800 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
- W987795800 title "A Conversation About Collins" @default.
- W987795800 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-44956-2_27" @default.
- W987795800 hasPublicationYear "2007" @default.
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