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• W99110963 abstract "Notwithstanding its widespread use and well documented profitability, technical analysis is still not accepted by the academia. This may be due to the fact that the causes of this profitability are not yet well understood. This paper suggests a rational for the application of technical trading rules. It is assumed that some of the asset price fundamentals are observable only with a considerable lag or not observable at all. Within this realistic informational environment a moving average trading rule is able to detect possible regime shifts in the process of currently unobservable fundamentals. Moving average trading rules can be interpreted as a cheap proxy for Bayesian learning and complementary to the standard forward looking approach of asset price expectations." @default.
• W99110963 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W99110963 creator A5032852416 @default.
• W99110963 date "2002-01-01" @default.
• W99110963 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
• W99110963 title "Why Technical Trading Works - A Simple Illustration" @default.
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• W99110963 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.300079" @default.
• W99110963 hasPublicationYear "2002" @default.
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